What Family Support Will Dependent Elders Have in 2030? European Projections

Population & SocietiesNum. 444, Avril 2008

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The ageing of the population raises the alarming prospect of a considerable increase in the number of elders with disabilities and in need of care. How many such people will there be in the future? How will they live? Will they have partners or children able to take care of them? To find out what the situation will be in Europe, a research team has calculated projections of the dependent elder population up to 2030, distinguishing between family situations. Here team coordinator Joëlle Gaymu outlines the study's findings.

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What Family Support Will Dependent Elders Have in 2030? European Projections

By 2030, the population aged 75 and over will have increased considerably, throughout Europe. Although most elders grow old in good health, the risk of physical and psychological dependence increases with age. Regular help then usually becomes indispensable, in which case the primary carers are usually the partner and children. In the absence of care by partner or children, the need for formal care automatically increas...

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